Iran has entered a delicate political phase following the announcement of the death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in an American-Israeli airstrike on Saturday, as arrangements for the transfer of power according to the constitution have begun, alongside the formation of a temporary leadership to manage the country's affairs until a new leader is chosen.
According to constitutional procedures, a temporary leadership council will oversee the transitional phase, while the final decision on the selection of the new leader rests with the Assembly of Experts, which includes 88 members and is currently chaired by Mohammad Karami. It is expected to convene in the coming days to determine the identity of the successor.
The most prominent names being circulated:
Mojahed Khamenei
The son of the late leader, he is seen as a powerful figure within ruling circles, with strong connections within state institutions, especially security ones. However, his chances face internal debate, and questions have been raised about his fate following the recent attack without official confirmation.
Ali Reza A'arafi
A prominent cleric and deputy head of the Assembly of Experts, he has connections within the religious institution, but is not known for his proximity to military leadership, which may affect his chances.
Mohammad Mahdi Mir Bagheri
Described as ideologically rigid, he has a presence in religious circles in Qom, but his limited political experience may weaken his chances of advancement.
Hashim Hosseini Bushehri
A member of the Assembly of Experts, but his political and media presence is less compared to other names.
Hassan Rouhani
The former Iranian president (2013–2021), known for his moderate tendencies and efforts to improve foreign relations during his presidency. Some observers believe that his moderation may give him a relative advantage if the council leans towards choosing a less confrontational figure.
The name of Hassan Khomeini, the grandson of the founder of the Islamic Republic, is also being circulated as part of the moderate religious trend.
The final word remains with the Assembly of Experts, as both the Iranian public and the international community await the course of the upcoming phase and its implications for regional balances.