Israeli Report: Iran's Missile Arsenal Could Run Out in 5 Days

Israeli security sources revealed today that Iran's missile arsenal, which includes about 2000 missiles, could be depleted within five days if the fighting continues at the current escalation pace.
The sources explained to the Hebrew site "Netsiv" that Iran may reduce the intensity of missile launches to prolong the conflict, especially after its launch platforms were hit by airstrikes that destroyed a large number of them.

Constraints and Challenges

Iran faces several constraints in using its missiles:
Destruction of launch platforms due to Israeli and American strikes.
The intelligence risk from launching missiles from silos or underground openings, as they leave thermal and electromagnetic traces that can be easily tracked.
Reliance on mobile launch platforms (TELs), often heavy commercial trucks, carrying one missile per platform, which limits the ability to launch large volleys at once.

Iranian Missiles and the Next Phase

Most modern missiles like "Khaibar Shekan" are used on mobile platforms powered by solid fuel, measuring about 11–13 meters in length, with a diameter of no more than one meter.
Israeli estimates suggest that Iranian launches may decrease to 10–20 missiles daily in the next phase unless the underground missile caches face direct threats.

Military Context

During four days of war, Israel launched between 250 and 300 missiles at Iranian targets, targeting about 500 sites related to missiles.
After the past 12-day war, Iran increased its stockpile of medium-range missiles to about 2500 missiles.