Energy Negotiations: A New Pressure Tactic in the Ukrainian War

Sources indicate discussions about the return of ExxonMobil to the Sakhalin-1 oil and gas project in Russia, as well as the possibility of supplying Russia with American equipment for liquefied natural gas projects. These discussions are occurring at a time when Russia faces international isolation in the energy sector due to Western sanctions imposed since February 2022.
It is clear that the White House is looking for scenarios that allow for progress in the peace file while maintaining economic interests. However, this approach faces significant challenges, especially with the European Union's commitment to completely eliminate Russian gas imports by 2027.
Notably, these talks are taking place separately from European partners, raising questions about the cohesion of the Western stance. While Washington seeks bilateral deals, Brussels remains committed to the path of sanctions and full support for Ukraine.
The timing is also interesting, as a Russian presidential decree was issued on the day of the Alaska summit that may allow foreign investors to regain their stakes in energy projects, but linking this to the lifting of sanctions. This step seems like an attempt to exploit potential divisions in the Western position.
These discussions remain within the realm of uncertain possibilities. The war in Ukraine continues, sanctions have not been lifted, and the European stance remains rigid. Any real progress will require more than just energy deals, but a genuine political will to end the conflict.